Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043040 0.046946 0.050913 0.055237 0.059810 0.064495 0.069652
2025-01-05 0.036947 0.042660 0.048684 0.055483 0.062916 0.070770 0.079670
2025-01-12 0.031609 0.038506 0.046036 0.054804 0.064672 0.075374 0.087799
2025-01-19 0.028190 0.036056 0.044913 0.055513 0.067740 0.081292 0.097339
2025-01-26 0.024693 0.033140 0.042945 0.054985 0.069194 0.085259 0.104620
2025-02-02 0.022177 0.031124 0.041799 0.055217 0.071373 0.089952 0.112681
2025-02-09 0.020453 0.029896 0.041446 0.056262 0.074415 0.095596 0.121837
2025-02-16 0.019566 0.029621 0.042185 0.058578 0.078953 0.103010 0.133119
2025-02-23 0.016909 0.026822 0.039558 0.056547 0.078048 0.103815 0.136474
2025-03-02 0.015134 0.025052 0.038117 0.055887 0.078733 0.106461 0.141983
2025-03-09 0.013663 0.023576 0.036953 0.055486 0.079664 0.109355 0.147762
2025-03-16 0.013170 0.023444 0.037560 0.057379 0.083511 0.115870 0.158018
2025-03-23 0.012336 0.022781 0.037434 0.058327 0.086209 0.121060 0.166805
2025-03-30 0.011508 0.022064 0.037189 0.059086 0.088655 0.125955 0.175281
2025-04-06 0.010392 0.020814 0.036113 0.058651 0.089489 0.128786 0.181180
2025-04-13 0.009759 0.020273 0.036020 0.059545 0.092079 0.133871 0.189954
2025-04-20 0.008813 0.019144 0.034994 0.059073 0.092790 0.136509 0.195619
2025-04-27 0.008147 0.018423 0.034530 0.059362 0.094508 0.140449 0.202958
2025-05-04 0.007739 0.018109 0.034660 0.060486 0.097365 0.145886 0.212247
2025-05-11 0.007665 0.018376 0.035690 0.062935 0.102077 0.153808 0.224809
2025-05-18 0.006595 0.016751 0.033665 0.060807 0.100349 0.153148 0.226194
2025-05-25 0.005920 0.015791 0.032641 0.060117 0.100597 0.155090 0.230958
2025-06-01 0.005357 0.014987 0.031825 0.059697 0.101197 0.157488 0.236317